Titled Tuesday Top 5 Finishers: Nov 3

As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 00:30:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hikaru Nakamura (37.0%), Arjun Erigaisi (26.0%), Aleksei Sarana (26.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Hikaru Nakamura37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
Arjun Erigaisi26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Aleksei Sarana26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Sina Movahed26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
Denis Lazavik21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
Dmitry Andreikin20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Alireza Firouzja17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Vladislav Artemiev16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Wesley So16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Bardiya Daneshvar15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Fabiano Caruana15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Ian Nepomniachtchi15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Andrey Esipenko14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Nodirbek Abdusattorov14.0%14.0¢86.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hikaru Nakamura:

If Hikaru Nakamura finishes in the top 5 in the Titled Tuesday chess competition, originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to Chess.com’s weekly Titled Tuesday competition originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026. The format is an 11-round Swiss tournament, with a 5+0 time control (5 minutes with no increment). If Hikaru Nakamura does not participate in the event, then their market will resolve to No. If multiple participants remain tied after all official tiebreakers have been exhausted, each tied participant will be credited with the best placement among the positions they occupy. For example, if two participants are tied for 3rd place, both will be considered to have finished in the top 3. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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