How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 21:18:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 500000 in a single quarter (57.0%), Above 750000 in a single quarter (3.0%), Above 1000000 in a single quarter (3.0%). The market has $120K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 500000 in a single quarter57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Above 750000 in a single quarter3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 1000000 in a single quarter3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 1500000 in a single quarter3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 2000000 in a single quarter1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Sources

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