Who Will Perform at Harry Styles’ MSG Residency?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Paul McCartney (27.0%), Elton John (21.0%), Louis Tomlinson (17.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Mon, 30 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Paul McCartney27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
Elton John21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
Louis Tomlinson17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Stevie Nicks17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Niall Horan16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Taylor Swift15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Phoebe Bridgers14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Noah Kahan14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Mick Fleetwood14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Lorde14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Zayn Malik14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Charli XCX13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Jorja Smith12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Olivia Rodrigo12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Bad Bunny9.0%9.0¢91.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Paul McCartney:

If Paul McCartney performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes. Additional clarification(s): Paul McCartney appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND Paul McCartney actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Paul McCartney's official representatives. Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Paul McCartney’s anticipated performance at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City. If an announced Paul McCartney later withdraws from Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City, this will not affect the resolution of the Contract. The following constitutes a performance and IS encompassed by the Payout Criterion: A full solo performance of one or more songs. A collaborative or joint performance in which Paul McCartney is physically present and actively contributes musically. A guest appearance during another artist's set in which Paul McCartney performs at least one full verse, chorus, or musical segment. A m…

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