Meta market share this week

As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 18:28:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.7% (61.0%), Above 1.8% (60.0%), Above 1.9% (58.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 1.7%61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Above 1.8%60.0%60.0¢40.0¢
Above 1.9%58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
Above 2.0%55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Above 2.1%49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Above 2.2%42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
Above 2.3%33.0%33.0¢67.0¢
Above 2.5%22.0%22.0¢78.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.7%:

If Meta scores above 1.7% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For this series, Meta refers to the model author shown as Meta Llama in the OpenRouter source chart. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 19, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.