What will Mamdani say during Fox News Sunday?
As of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:14:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Socialist / Socialism (92.0%), Afford / Affordable / Affordability (92.0%), El-Sayed (90.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 22 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Socialist / Socialism | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| El-Sayed | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Trump / President | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Childcare | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Tax | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| ICE | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Grocery | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| Iran / Iranian | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Talarico | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Israel / Israeli | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| NYPD | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Socialist / Socialism:
If Zohran Mamdani says Socialist / Socialism as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 using the original television broadcast of Fox News Sunday. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the ma…
Sources
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