When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:44:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Feb 1, 2027 (94.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (93.0%), Before Mar 1, 2027 (91.0%). The market has $4.9M in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4.9M
- Liquidity: $4.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Feb 1, 2027:
If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Feb 1, 2027.
Sources
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