Hermès Birkin: Highest auction sale price this year

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:30:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $150K (87.0%), Above $200K (80.0%), Above $250K (72.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $150K87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Above $200K80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Above $250K72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
Above $300K54.0%54.0¢46.0¢
Above $400K35.0%35.0¢65.0¢
Above $500K17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Above $600K13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above $700K12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Above $800K11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above $900K10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Above $1M10.0%10.0¢90.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $150K:

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Birkin bag sold at auction on Sothebys is above $150000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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