Gold price at year end?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:10:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4,300 or above (48.0%), 4,400 or above (34.0%), 4,500 or above (24.0%). The market has $321K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4,300 or above48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
4,400 or above34.0%34.0¢66.0¢
4,500 or above24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
4,600 or above13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
4,700 or above12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
4,800 or above8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
4,900 or above7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
5,000 or above7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
5,100 or above5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
5,200 or above5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
5,400 or above4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
5,500 or above4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
5,300 or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4,300 or above:

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Pyth - Gold.

Sources

Related markets

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