Jay-Z's halftime opener?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 12:39:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Run This Town (26.0%), Dirt Off Your Shoulder (23.0%), Empire State Of Mind (14.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Mon, 15 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Run This Town | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Dirt Off Your Shoulder | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Empire State Of Mind | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Song Cry | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Heart Of The City (Ain't No Love) | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Big Pimpin' | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Holy Grail | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Lucifer | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Umbrella | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 99 Problems | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Crazy In Love | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Girls, Girls, Girls | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ni**as In Paris | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Public Service Announcement (interlude) | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Suit & Tie | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Run This Town:
If the first song performed by Jay-Z during the 2027 NFL Championship Halftime Show is the song ''Run This Town'' as performed by Jay-Z (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes. This market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the NFL Championship Final Halftime Show performed by Jay-Z. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No. The performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., "first song of encore").
Sources
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