DeepSeek market share this week

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:00:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 23.8% (87.0%), Above 22.7% (85.0%), Above 24.6% (83.0%). The market has $173K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:00:02 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Above 23.8%	87.0%	87.0¢	13.0¢
Above 22.7%	85.0%	85.0¢	15.0¢
Above 24.6%	83.0%	83.0¢	17.0¢
Above 24.8%	81.0%	81.0¢	19.0¢
Above 25.0%	68.0%	68.0¢	32.0¢
Above 25.3%	59.0%	59.0¢	41.0¢
Above 25.5%	57.0%	57.0¢	43.0¢
Above 26.4%	38.0%	38.0¢	62.0¢
Above 27.7%	23.0%	23.0¢	77.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $173K
Liquidity: $173K
Closes: Mon, 02 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 23.8%:

If DeepSeek scores above 23.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 19, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.