Carvana retail vehicle unit sales this year

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 11:19:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 780 thousand (90.0%), Above 790 thousand (86.0%), Above 800 thousand (78.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Mon, 31 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 780 thousand90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above 790 thousand86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Above 800 thousand78.0%78.0¢22.0¢
Above 810 thousand72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
Above 820 thousand67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
Above 830 thousand27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
Above 840 thousand21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
Above 850 thousand11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above 860 thousand10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Above 870 thousand8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 880 thousand8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 890 thousand6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 900 thousand5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 910 thousand5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Sources

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