Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:25:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Harry Kane (99.0%), Lamine Yamal (98.0%), Kylian Mbappé (95.0%). The market has $27K in volume and closes on Tue, 27 Oct 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:25:24 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Harry Kane	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Lamine Yamal	98.0%	98.0¢	2.0¢
Kylian Mbappé	95.0%	95.0¢	5.0¢
Rodri	77.0%	77.0¢	23.0¢
Lionel Messi	70.0%	70.0¢	30.0¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	33.0%	33.0¢	67.0¢
Michael Olise	21.0%	21.0¢	79.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé	17.0%	17.0¢	83.0¢
Fabián Ruiz	9.0%	9.0¢	91.0¢
Erling Haaland	8.0%	8.0¢	92.0¢
Declan Rice	7.0%	7.0¢	93.0¢
João Neves	6.0%	6.0¢	94.0¢
Jude Bellingham	6.0%	6.0¢	94.0¢
Vitinha	6.0%	6.0¢	94.0¢
Luis Díaz	5.0%	5.0¢	95.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $27K
Liquidity: $27K
Closes: Tue, 27 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Harry Kane:

If Harry Kane is ranked top 5 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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