Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:24:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Harry Kane (73.0%), Lamine Yamal (21.0%), Kylian Mbappe (6.0%). The market has $20.0M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Kylian Mbappe | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Vinicius Junior | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Michael Olise | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ousmane Dembele | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Declan Rice | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Jude Bellingham | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Luis Diaz | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Lautaro Martinez | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Nuno Mendes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20.0M
- Liquidity: $21.6M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Harry Kane:
If Harry Kane wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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