Aluminum Midwest premium average in November 2026

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price 90¢ or above (88.0%), 110¢ or above (45.0%), 100¢ or above (12.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
90¢ or above88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
110¢ or above45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
100¢ or above12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
95¢ or above11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
70¢ or above8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
85¢ or above5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
105¢ or above5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
80¢ or above4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
75¢ or above1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 70¢ or above:

If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 70 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the official final settlement price for the November 2026 CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures contract (AUP). This final settlement is the benchmark used for the month's average Midwest premium. Use the specified contract month, not a continuous or front-month quote. Convert CME's U.S. dollars-per-pound value to U.S. cents per pound by multiplying by 100, without additional rounding. The market resolves to Yes if this value is greater than or equal to its threshold. An intramonth price touching the threshold does not determine this market. Corrections, delayed publication and fallback procedures follow the COMMODITIES contract terms, including the qualifying 24-hour correction provision. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the CME Group. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.