American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:23:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 83.5% (88.0%), Above 84% (64.0%), Above 84.5% (42.0%). The market has $147K in volume and closes on Fri, 19 Feb 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 83.5%88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above 84%64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Above 84.5%42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
Above 85%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above 85.5%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 87.5%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 86%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 87%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 88%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 86.5%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 83.5%:

If American Airlines Group Inc. reports Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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