30-year mortgage rate this week

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:05:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.23% (99.0%), Above 7.24% (97.0%), Above 7.25% (97.0%). The market has $49K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 7.23%99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 7.24%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 7.25%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 7.26%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 7.27%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
Above 7.28%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above 7.29%78.0%78.0¢22.0¢
Above 7.30%69.0%69.0¢31.0¢
Above 7.31%56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
Above 7.32%37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
Above 7.33%23.0%23.0¢77.0¢
Above 7.34%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above 7.35%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 7.36%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 7.41%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.23%:

If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.23%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.

Sources

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