30-year mortgage rate this week
As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 07:19:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.32% (94.0%), Above 7.34% (85.0%), Above 7.36% (53.0%). The market has $129K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.32% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 7.34% | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 7.36% | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Above 7.40% | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Above 7.38% | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Above 7.44% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above 7.42% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 7.46% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 7.48% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.52% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.54% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.56% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.58% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.62% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.64% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $129K
- Liquidity: $129K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.32%:
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.32%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 15, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.
Sources
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