30-year mortgage rate this week

As of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 08:47:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.30% (100.0%), Above 7.32% (99.0%), Above 7.34% (98.0%). The market has $46K in volume and closes on Thu, 15 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 7.30%100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Above 7.32%99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 7.34%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 7.36%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 7.38%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above 7.40%64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Above 7.42%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Above 7.44%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 7.46%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 7.58%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 7.60%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 7.64%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 7.50%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 7.52%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 7.54%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.30%:

If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 8, 2026 is above 7.30%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 8, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.

Sources

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