30-year mortgage rate this week
As of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 08:47:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.30% (100.0%), Above 7.32% (99.0%), Above 7.34% (98.0%). The market has $46K in volume and closes on Thu, 15 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.30% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 7.32% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 7.34% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 7.36% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 7.38% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 7.40% | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above 7.42% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Above 7.44% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 7.46% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 7.58% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.60% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.64% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.50% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.52% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 7.54% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $46K
- Liquidity: $46K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.30%:
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 8, 2026 is above 7.30%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 8, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.
Sources
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