Titled Tuesday Winner: Oct 6

As of Mon, 05 Oct 2026 15:44:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hikaru Nakamura (17.0%), Denis Lazavik (16.0%), Alireza Firouzja (7.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Tue, 06 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Hikaru Nakamura17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Denis Lazavik16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Alireza Firouzja7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Magnus Carlsen7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Sina Movahed5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Aleksei Sarana5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Jan-Krzysztof Duda5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Parham Maghsoodloo4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Artin Ashraf3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Ian Nepomniachtchi3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Aleksandar Indjic2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Tobias Koelle2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Arjun Erigaisi2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Dmitry Andreikin2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hikaru Nakamura:

If Hikaru Nakamura wins the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026. The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds. If Hikaru Nakamura does not participate in the event, then their market will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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