FRESH: First Week Streams
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 20:09:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1M (96.0%), Above 18M (90.0%), Above 16M (88.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 15 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1M | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 18M | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 16M | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 2M | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 3M | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 12M | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 4M | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Above 5M | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 10M | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 6M | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 8M | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 14M | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 20M | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1M:
If FRESH by Lil Baby has above 1M streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market.
Sources
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