ChatGPT Outage by...?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 01:03:53 UTC, Polymarket traders price November 15 (99.4%), October 31 (58.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 16 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 15 | 99.4% | 99.4¢ | 0.7¢ |
| October 31 | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $289
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' between market creation and the specified calendar day (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will rem…
Sources
Related markets
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.