Will Trump declare an election emergency? — odds by venue
| Outcome | Kalshi | Limitless | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 4, 2026 | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% on Kalshi |
Venues
- Kalshi: Volume $440.4K · Liquidity $440.4K
- Limitless: Volume $0 · Liquidity —
Resolution rules
Limitless
<p>If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial p…