Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027? — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Yan | 14.9% | 12% | 12% on Kalshi |
| Brian Armstrong | 12.9% | 12% | 12% on Kalshi |
| GCR | 6% | — | 6% on Polymarket |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $36.7K · Liquidity $3.1K
- Kalshi: Volume $23.3K · Liquidity $23.3K
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
Kalshi
If Brian Armstrong is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.