Tennessee Senate Election Winner — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Hagerty (R) | 96.4% | 96.5% | 96.4% on Polymarket |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% on Kalshi |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $61.5K · Liquidity $154.2K
- Kalshi: Volume $496.1K · Liquidity $496.1K
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the con…
Kalshi
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Tennessee for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.