Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — odds by venue
| Outcome | Kalshi | Limitless | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats sweep | 66% | 68% | 66% on Kalshi |
| D-House, R-Senate | 29% | 27% | 27% on Limitless |
| Republicans sweep | 8.3% | 7% | 7% on Limitless |
Venues
- Kalshi: Volume $64.4M · Liquidity $64.4M
- Limitless: Volume $2.3K · Liquidity —
Resolution rules
Kalshi
If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL. Each CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.
Limitless
<p><em>Additional context — Updated October 14, 2026</em></p><p><em>This market's rules have been updated for clarity.</em></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no pa…