Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Limitless | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| R Senate, D House | 27% | 27% | 27% on Polymarket and Limitless |
| D Senate, R House | 0.9% | — | 0.9% on Polymarket |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $13.5M
- Limitless: Volume $2.3K · Liquidity —
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the…
Limitless
<p><em>Additional context — Updated October 14, 2026</em></p><p><em>This market's rules have been updated for clarity.</em></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no pa…