Alaska Governor Election Winner — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernadette Wilson | 12% | 12% | 12% on Polymarket and Kalshi |
| David Bronson | 0.2% | 1% | 0.2% on Polymarket |
| Click Bishop | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% on Polymarket |
| Adam Crum | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% on Polymarket |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% on Polymarket and Kalshi |
| Edna DeVries | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% on Polymarket and Kalshi |
| Matt Heilala | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% on Polymarket and Kalshi |
| Shelley Hughes | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% on Polymarket and Kalshi |
| Treg Taylor | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% on Polymarket |
| Lisa Murkowski | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% on Polymarket and Kalshi |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $1.3M
- Kalshi: Volume $928.5K · Liquidity $928.5K
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Kalshi
If Adam Crum is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.