UT-04 House Election Winner — odds by venue

As of Oct 20, 2026, 11:33 UTC, Jonny Larsen (D) trades at 5.1% on Polymarket and 6.4% on Kalshi. Combined volume: $65.4K.

Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Best price
Jonny Larsen (D)	5.1%	6.4%	5.1% on Polymarket

Venues

Polymarket: Volume $60.1K · Liquidity $52.3K · Price time —
Kalshi: Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $5.2K · Price time —

Resolution rules

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these…