MI-11 House Election Winner — odds by venue

As of Oct 31, 2026, 21:38 UTC, Jeremy Moss (D) trades at 98.7% on Polymarket and 98% on Kalshi. Combined volume: $2.8K.

Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Best price
Jeremy Moss (D)	98.7%	98%	98% on Kalshi
Ethan Baker (R)	2.6%	2.2%	2.2% on Kalshi

Venues

Polymarket: Volume $358 · Liquidity $94.5K
Kalshi: Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $2.4K

Resolution rules

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these…

Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for MI-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.