KY-05 House Election Winner — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Rogers (R) | 97.9% | 97.5% | 97.5% on Kalshi |
| Ned Pillersdorf (D) | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% on Kalshi and Polymarket |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $68.5K · Liquidity $49.3K · Price time —
- Kalshi: Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $2.1K · Price time —
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these…
Kalshi
If the House member sworn in for KY-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.