CA-40 House winner? — odds by venue

As of Oct 29, 2026, 09:27 UTC, Young Kim trades at 53% on Kalshi and 54% on Opinion. Combined volume: $17.3K.

Outcome	Kalshi	Opinion	Best price
Young Kim	53%	54%	53% on Kalshi
Ken Calvert	50%	53%	50% on Kalshi

Venues

Kalshi: Volume $17.3K · Liquidity $17.3K
Opinion: Volume — · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).