120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? — odds by venue

As of Oct 29, 2026, 23:19 UTC, John Thune trades at 23% on Kalshi and 26% on Limitless. Combined volume: $13K.

Outcome	Kalshi	Limitless	Best price
John Thune	23%	26%	23% on Kalshi

Venues

Kalshi: Volume $13K · Liquidity $13K
Limitless: Volume $72 · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

Kalshi

If John Thune wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the party that holds Senate majority status serves as Senate Majority Leader. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.